Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.003055 0.003357 0.003678 0.004047 0.004459 0.004905 0.005427
2026-02-01 0.002555 0.002980 0.003464 0.004061 0.004780 0.005621 0.006685
2026-02-08 0.002230 0.002706 0.003275 0.004010 0.004941 0.006092 0.007634
2026-02-15 0.001979 0.002477 0.003095 0.003924 0.005019 0.006432 0.008419
2026-02-22 0.001825 0.002348 0.003015 0.003943 0.005214 0.006920 0.009425
2026-03-01 0.001733 0.002284 0.003009 0.004048 0.005521 0.007574 0.010713
2026-03-08 0.001595 0.002145 0.002888 0.003980 0.005575 0.007868 0.011503
2026-03-15 0.001473 0.002019 0.002771 0.003903 0.005603 0.008118 0.012239
2026-03-22 0.001383 0.001928 0.002696 0.003878 0.005699 0.008471 0.013161
2026-03-29 0.001322 0.001875 0.002669 0.003920 0.005895 0.008988 0.014394
2026-04-05 0.001240 0.001784 0.002580 0.003859 0.005923 0.009237 0.015199
2026-04-12 0.001172 0.001710 0.002510 0.003819 0.005980 0.009533 0.016109
2026-04-19 0.001102 0.001631 0.002431 0.003768 0.006022 0.009824 0.017072
2026-04-26 0.001052 0.001581 0.002394 0.003781 0.006175 0.010323 0.018484
2026-05-03 0.000993 0.001513 0.002325 0.003733 0.006218 0.010628 0.019560
2026-05-10 0.000934 0.001439 0.002240 0.003654 0.006197 0.010813 0.020416
2026-05-17 0.000898 0.001402 0.002214 0.003672 0.006350 0.011330 0.022004
2026-05-24 0.000880 0.001393 0.002232 0.003768 0.006655 0.012164 0.024356
2026-05-31 0.000834 0.001335 0.002164 0.003706 0.006654 0.012399 0.025444
2026-06-07 0.000791 0.001278 0.002095 0.003635 0.006631 0.012587 0.026448
2026-06-14 0.000758 0.001238 0.002053 0.003612 0.006699 0.012965 0.027932
2026-06-21 0.000738 0.001218 0.002044 0.003650 0.006891 0.013620 0.030153
2026-06-28 0.000704 0.001172 0.001988 0.003594 0.006886 0.013851 0.031377